Sample Models
Predicting outcomes
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Model 10.1: ANP - Prediction of US Economy Recovery (1991)
This model was used to predict US economy recovery 1991 in the US. This is a SuperDecisions software sample model.
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Model 10.2: ANP - Prediction of US Economy Recovery (2001)
This model describes a forecast of the date for the resumption of the growth of the US economy in 2001. This is a SuperDecisions software sample model.
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Model 10.3: AHP - US 1980 Presidential Election
This model was used predict 1980 Presidential Electio. This is a Super Decisions sample model.
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Model 10.4: ANP BOCR - Prediction of the Most Severe HIV Epidemic (2001)
HIV prevalence varies greatly among countries of different economic status and region. This study explores some of the social and economic conditions that allow, or contribute to, the spread of HIV/AIDS in an effort to supply policy options for policy makers at the national and international level. A group of developing Southeast Asian nations in various stages of their HIV epidemic is also compared.
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Model 10.5: ANP BOCR - Will Biden win his Second Term? (2022)
Will Biden get reelected if he runs for a second term?People care about the short-term economy, a lot, focusing on the ”now” benefits like recession recovery and social reform will greatly improve his chances of reelection. Under opportunities, we see that Biden lost in that category because his long term-change does not reflect what enough constituents want, or it's too much change. Focus on long-term social change. We see this again reflected in the cost In this model, American people had the heaviest weight and gave most of that weight to benefits. This intuitively makes sense.